TBH there are also global effects here - the infection rate cratered here too and we're only at 15% in California, but it was cratering already and new infectio

TBH there are also global effects here - the infection rate cratered here too and we're only at 15% in California, but it was cratering already and new infections have been flat since the end of February / early March. There's a lot going on right now and I'm suspicious of any ad-hoc math given there are so many variables at play.