4 ms·
You seem to be assuming that people getting their first dose will receive priority somehow in vaccination. As it is right now, those 20 million doses only repr
by pmiller2 6y ago
You seem to be assuming that people getting their first dose will receive priority somehow in vaccination. As it is right now, those 20 million doses only represent ~15-25% of all Californians being fully vaccinated and around 30-35% having received at least one dose. There's mathematically no way 20 million more shots gets us to 90%.
Source for numbers: https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/covid-19-vaccines-distribution/ https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-case...
- nikolay 6y agoAlso, won't the vaccine protection start expiring in June for those who got vaccinated in December 2020 and January 2021? Basically, you need to keep re-vaccinating around 7 million people on average every month and this is given the existing vaccine still protect you from the growing number of variants.
- TheCoelacanth 6y agoI don't believe that the protection is expected to expire that quickly. That's simply how long we have verified that it lasts.
- nikolay 6y agoTitres of antibodies drop in time. You can't expect this to last forever. Plus, vaccines are less effective against certain variants even at peak titres, so, who knows how effective a vaccine administered today will be in the variants in circulation 6 months from now. Plus, mass vaccinations apply evolutionary pressure and although they slow the spread and thus the variability, they force only new variants or straints to spread, which could send us back to square one.