3 ms·
Let's do a worst case calculation and assume you are a women aged 30. The infection fatality rate of Covid for this age and gender is 0.01 % or 1 in 10k (based
by Pyramus 5y ago
Let's do a worst case calculation and assume you are a women aged 30.
The infection fatality rate of Covid for this age and gender is 0.01 % or 1 in 10k (based on seroprevalence data not test data [1]).
The fatality rate for the AZ vaccine in Germany is 1 in 200k, so you are 20 times more likely to die from Covid.
You are correct that there is (and always will be) some uncertainty around the risks of the vaccine, but the same is true for Covid. Interestingly the vaccine is only appr. 6 months older than Covid (Nov 2019 vs Apr 2020) but more people have had Covid than vaccines. Still, uncertainties around Covid remain, e.g. we don't know the prevalence and severity of long Covid.
[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0/figures/2 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0/figures/2
- linuxftw 5y agoSeems for the hypothetical person, covid mortality is no higher than background mortality.
- Pyramus 5y agoYes, this was one of the surprises early on that Covid risk matches background risk relatively closely [1]. Which is not a good thing, especially on a societal level, when you have this one thing killing people at the rate of all other things combined. [1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p087x9sf https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p087x9sf