"I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones" -Albert Einstein Funny. I'm starting to thi

"I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones" -Albert Einstein Funny. I'm starting to think the probability of armed conflict is near zero. I see it playing out rather like the Umbrella Revolution in HK. Just as HK's financial sector proved resilient (and even is in the midst of an IPO boom). Taiwan exports will be largely unaffected. Any shift to mainland policies on the island will occur gradually. And any existential threat the US feels in losing Taiwan, will be subsumed with a growing isolationism and focus on domestic discontents. Am also very optimistic about New Space economics. The combination of AI and ubiquitous satellite internet will be enormously net positive for all humankind ;)