4 ms·

Yes - IFR for people in their 30s is still between 0.01% and 0.1%, which is significantly higher than the rate of death with thrombosis after AZ. OP is claimin

• curryst 6y ago
  Their point is that AZ is less likely to kill you if you would get COVID without the vaccine. If you weren't going to get COVID either way, the vaccine exposes you to a very small risk that you wouldn't have been exposed to otherwise. In regions where COVID is well-controlled, you might save lives by rejecting the AZ vaccine and maintaining the current lockdown/measures until non-AZ vaccines are available. The risk of death from the AZ vaccine seems to be about 1 in 500k. If you're a country of 10 million people, you would expect roughly 20 deaths from the vaccine. If fewer than 20,000 people would get COVID, the vaccine would kill more people than COVID would. If more than 20,000 people would get COVID, the vaccine would save lives. Basically the risk of dying from the vaccine applies to everyone, because we want everyone vaccinated. The risk of dying from COVID only applies to people who actually get COVID. You'd have to look at projections to see which is likely to be more risky, but you would have to have really good control of COVID for the vaccine to be riskier.