3 ms·
> "Time average" and "ensemble average" are standard vocabulary in the statistical mechanics literature But their application to non-standard-mechanical things
by kgwgk 6y ago
> "Time average" and "ensemble average" are standard vocabulary in the statistical mechanics literature
But their application to non-standard-mechanical things is very confusing.
Of course wealth is not ergodic. Ergodicity would mean that the distribution is always the same. Every point in time would be identical to every other point in time and growth would be impossible.
- fractionalhare 6y agoI agree it's not perfectly explained. But I think someone new to ergodic theory would find the article clearer (or at least more helpful overall) than your second paragraph here.
- kgwgk 6y ago“What we're seeing is that even though the expected value is positive, and the ensemble average is increasing, the time average for any single person is usually decreasing. The average of the entire "system" increases, but that doesn't mean that the average of a single unit is increasing.” Someone new to ergodic theory may understand from that article that if wealth was ergodic the average for every trajectory would increase like the average for the entire system. But that doesn’t make sense.