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TCP/IP is still strong with us today. The whole web is built on top of that. Given that browsers today already support HTTP/2, it is hard to imagine that in 25
by aflag 6y ago
TCP/IP is still strong with us today. The whole web is built on top of that. Given that browsers today already support HTTP/2, it is hard to imagine that in 25 years the web would have moved to something else. HTTP/1 has been around for longer than that and it's still strong. The only change that made things incompatible was SSL, but it is unlikely that will change anytime soon either.
I think the take away from that blog post is that the user experience from 95 is not that drastically different from the experience from today. The leap from the 80s UI to 90s was drastic, but it has been getting more stable since. To the point that I would call it stagnated for at least the past 10 years. The web UI did change a lot and, as noticed, it is completely incompatible with browsers from 95. But that's largely because it was catching up with the native apps/ui. I think we are there already, though. So I expect the web to be as stable as the native protocols and graphical toolkits have been for the past 25 years. Probably even more so, since keeping backwards compatibility is much more important in the web.