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So you’re saying that, after living in Taiwan and “sobering up” on his defense views, he changed his mind and reconsidered his position? To me this is evidence

So you’re saying that, after living in Taiwan and “sobering up” on his defense views, he changed his mind and reconsidered his position? To me this is evidence to take what he says more seriously.

dirtyid 6y ago
With respect to TW, he changed when his position became far past untenable. It's like someone flipping from being climate denialist in 2020 instead of 2010. Being proximate to TW should make their poor military preparedness more, not less apparent for those that follow the subject matter. The response shouldn't be, what a serious mind, but what took so long? Overall he's well worth reading, keeps up to date with literature, does good summaries. But his analysis on TW has been more outlier than consensus. And up until recently, stubbornly so.