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The problem with experts has come from the divide of physical competence from decision making and power. An expert now is someone whose skills are for navigatin
by motohagiography 6y ago
The problem with experts has come from the divide of physical competence from decision making and power. An expert now is someone whose skills are for navigating bureaucracy and politics, and they hire talent to provide any facts they might need. These experts are politicians, and not practitioners.
The author says, "The cure for these transgressions, however, is not to replace expertise with ignorance: It is to replace it with better expertise. If complaints about experts were meant to restore a balance between experts and laypeople, experts would be the first to support it. But this requires voters to be at least modestly informed, not simply convinced they are automatically right. And as it stands now, attacks on expertise often amount to a demand from ordinary citizens—sometimes encouraged by politicians and hucksters—that their views, no matter how contradictory or hazardous, be considered equal to those of the most experienced expert."
No. The answer is to a) demand a demonstrable bar of current physical domain competence on anyone professing expertise, and b) reduce the role of deference to so-called experts by promoting and rewarding the values of personal accountability and agency, and c) hold experts accountable for lying or being wrong. What we have suppressed and consequently, lack, are the costly honest signals of expertise.
Education credentials do not suffice today either, because if you want to know what a 30yr old with a master's degree and an unsecured 150% debt to income ratio working as a jr. analyst in a consulting firm will tell you about the problem you need solved, I'll save you the retainer, the answer is: anything you want.
The reaction against incompetent intellectuals is that their interests can compromise their apprehension of facts so much so that in any serious situation, a reasonable person cannot trust a modern professed expert to put the truth ahead of their self-interest. When you trade on physical skill like coding or engineering, you have a stake in being wrong, because your reputation and survival depends on being right. When you trade on a position or credentials, the consequences for stepping out of line are greater than those of lying, and the incentives are clear.
Many experts can't even tell themselves, because they were educated by constructivists. The way to use experts is not a matter of whether they are lying or not, but assess whether they even know if they are lying, and what the consequences of being misled by them might be.
Listening to experts doesn't mitigate consequences, especially in examples of things in recent memory like asbestos, thalidomide, attacking middle eastern countries, collateralized debt obligations (squared), lockdowns, and what we are about to see with monetization and electronic identity papers. My advice would be to always consult experts, but rarely believe them.