3 ms·
> Why in the world would you fib about something that is this easy to verify? Sorry, that was a typo from memory: not 7 and 7 but 4 and 4. Conclusion is unchan
by breck 6y ago
> Why in the world would you fib about something that is this easy to verify?
Sorry, that was a typo from memory: not 7 and 7 but 4 and 4. Conclusion is unchanged. From the FDA link I provided, Table 19. Here's a screenshot with the relevant line https://twitter.com/breckyunits/status/1348080756921303041/photo/1 https://twitter.com/breckyunits/status/1348080756921303041/p...
> which you were clearly trying to imply.
I absolutely was not trying to imply these were COVID deaths. I'm trying to imply that the wholistic expected value of the COVID vaccine needs to be considered. In my personal circle of ~2,000 family and friends, I have lost 4 people in the past ~12 months from Non-Covid (35, 50, 65, 62), for a total of about ~100 healthspan years lost, versus 1 person from COVID (with a healthspan left of ~1). I know >100 people confirmed COVID. One cannot make decisions in isolation.
> Now, why were there no deaths from Covid?...that their trial was not designed to surface in the first place.
Because they cut the study short! In the clinical study protocol (https://www.modernatx.com/sites/default/files/mRNA-1273-P301-Protocol.pdf https://www.modernatx.com/sites/default/files/mRNA-1273-P301...) they specifically state "To evaluate [Vaccine efficacy] to prevent death caused by COVID-19" as an objective!
"The study is designed to primarily evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety
of mRNA-1273 to prevent COVID-19 for up to 2 years after the second dose of mRNA-1273...Participants are considered to have completed the study if they complete the final visit at Day 759
(Month 25), 24 months following the last dose of IP."
> the foundation for this theory is that the trial participants would have agreed to not get a working vaccination for two years, even if on placebo.
I can't speak to what the experience of people in this trial was like, as I was not a participant, but I have never been involved with a control group where they have told you that they would tell your your placebo status not even halfway into the study.
> I think your suggestions on what Moderna's incentives are absurd.
Moderna the corporation has no incentive to keep the control group going because they've already closed the sale so if the long run efficacy turned out to be not as strong, they potentially could be exposed to downside risk. I am not against the vaccine or the rollout. I'm against the destruction of the control group.