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This is really only true if you were lucky enough to buy gold in early 1971. Even a couple years later, market indexes would have been a significantly better be
by anonporridge 6y ago
This is really only true if you were lucky enough to buy gold in early 1971. Even a couple years later, market indexes would have been a significantly better bet. [0]
The more interesting observation in my opinion, is that priced in gold, market index growth isn't nearly as impressive as dollar denominated numbers would lead you to believe. Priced in gold (excluding dividends) the S&P 500 still hasn't recovered from the dotcom bubble, it's just barely made it back to pre global financial crisis levels, and even that is on par with the 60s. [1]
The fiat standard distorts our view of the world and tricks us into seeing growth that isn't real. It's like if the CGPM [2] cut off a sliver from the meter stick every year (before pegging to universal constants) which makes it seem like you're growing in height your entire life, even though in reality you stop growing in your 20s and even start shrinking in old age.
[0] https://www.longtermtrends.net/stocks-vs-gold-comparison/ https://www.longtermtrends.net/stocks-vs-gold-comparison/
[1] https://www.macrotrends.net/1437/sp500-to-gold-ratio-chart https://www.macrotrends.net/1437/sp500-to-gold-ratio-chart
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Conference_on_Weights_and_Measures https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Conference_on_Weights_...
- reasonabl_human 6y agoThe priced in gold insight is frightening to me as someone who holds currency... time to move into appreciating assets
- anonporridge 6y agoYeah. Cash is trash. Only keep enough cash to handle emergencies, e.g. 3-12 months of expenses to handle job loss. You don't want 100% of your wealth in potentially volatile assets, because job loss will often correlate with market corrections, forcing you to sell your assets at the worst possible time, when you would ideally be buying. However, one trick you can use is to borrow against your assets. Not only do you not need to sell at a bad time, but you don't get dinged by capital gains tax. There are pitfalls here that can make it dangerous, but here's an example of executing it, https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2021/01/29/margin-loan-ibkr-review/ https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2021/01/29/margin-loan-ibkr-...