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Greer writes well on variety of topics and well worth sub/reading. But I would not rely on him for current developments for US/TW/CN topics. He was one of the l
by dirtyid 6y ago
Greer writes well on variety of topics and well worth sub/reading. But I would not rely on him for current developments for US/TW/CN topics. He was one of the last holdouts along with Ian Easton of TW can triumph alone crowd, changing his position only recently, years after general consensus from credible thinktanks suggested otherwise. I think he lives in TW and has blinders on - having held his positions so far past expiration date. His writing on the subject since, rather his recent regurgitation of US thinktanks and opinion pieces are more in line with reality. It's nice to see him sober up, but never know when his opinions will drift back into wish fulfilment.
- remarkEon 6y agoSo you’re saying that, after living in Taiwan and “sobering up” on his defense views, he changed his mind and reconsidered his position? To me this is evidence to take what he says more seriously.
- dirtyid 6y agoWith respect to TW, he changed when his position became far past untenable. It's like someone flipping from being climate denialist in 2020 instead of 2010. Being proximate to TW should make their poor military preparedness more, not less apparent for those that follow the subject matter. The response shouldn't be, what a serious mind, but what took so long? Overall he's well worth reading, keeps up to date with literature, does good summaries. But his analysis on TW has been more outlier than consensus. And up until recently, stubbornly so.