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Please see my other comment. I did further research and the problem comes because of drift. The lunar calendar would drift away from astronomical events, and th
by prometheus76 6y ago
Please see my other comment. I did further research and the problem comes because of drift. The lunar calendar would drift away from astronomical events, and this was a known problem, so they would occasionally add a 13th month to a year, but it wasn't done systematically. Also, there have been several attempts among scholars to create conversion tables for dates, and each of them have errors, sometimes up to 4 weeks. So which table did the researchers use? We don't know. And all of the conversion tables have errors, which brings me to my original point: making a claim that "this year is the earliest day of blossoming since the 800s in Japan" is scientifically unverifiable, because we cannot link historical calendar dates to current gregorian dates accurately before 1863, when Japan converted to the gregorian calendar.
- labawi 6y agoWe do not need a generalized date mapping function to verify the claim, we only need to verify specific events/dates, and even for those we only need to verify a single inequality. OTOH, looking at the data, events are dispersed over more than a month (range 124 - 86 = 38 days), so it is possible an earlier date was pushed later, where it fits better - one cannot reliably deduce month from year + day of month.