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This discussion has been ongoing in security for a couple of decades. The reason we didn't get traction on fixing it was because our approach to mitigating risk
by motohagiography 6y ago
This discussion has been ongoing in security for a couple of decades. The reason we didn't get traction on fixing it was because our approach to mitigating risk interfered with opportunity and growth. Imo, the U.S. is losing its place in the world because it can't assert itself the way it used to, as a direct consequence of there being zero-cost to an adversary retaliating by creating domestic civil unrest using metro area power outages and water system compromises from cyber attacks. Think Texas power outages last month, but longer, and in LA, NYC, Chicago, Baltimore, or a version of last years riot season with blackouts.
It's harder to mobilize an army, let alone a draft, when your people are rioting and looting for lack of basic services. The good news is we won't see another personnel heavy gulf war or vietnam again, but the terrible news is adversaries know it's almost democratically impossible for the U.S. to fight a total ground war anymore and this will embolden regional border conflicts where raw numbers of infantry soldiers are an advantage. See China's current aggression in international waters and on its border with India as an example where there is a hard ceiling on the level of U.S. intervention because cyber has unbalanced the risk/reward.
Perhaps its only option is to keep escalating aggression and putting pressure on adversaries so they don't have the attention to devote to their regional ambitions, where the role changes from global cop, to a global "broken windows" and "stop and frisk" policing policy.
- zozin 6y agoI'm fairly certain that if China did to the US what they did to India last year[0], we would strike back, and strike back hard. If China/Russia got to the point where they're causing power outages and rioting/looting, Chinese/Russian cities wouldn't be left unscathed. In a future conflict with a peer enemy I assume all Internet services will cease to exist and we'll be back to WWII era of technology. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/28/us/politics/china-india-hacking-electricity.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/28/us/politics/china-india-h...
- AzzieElbab 6y ago1 - power outages in both Russia and China are routine and wouldn’t have caused any riots or looting 2 - their governments wouldn’t care