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I think you're right but I had to think about it and might not have noticed. How did you have that ready to go?
by neolog 6y ago
I think you're right but I had to think about it and might not have noticed. How did you have that ready to go?
- Godel_unicode 6y agoI have a basic understanding of statistics and a basic understanding of logical fallacies, and I deal with this kind of sounds-good-if-you-don't-think-too-hard "insights" all the time.
- Rule35 6y ago> basic understanding of logical fallacies Did you spot one here? > I have a basic understanding of statistics Perhaps an intermediate understanding would help. Entire schools tend to score higher or lower together, also wealth correlates to IQ and scholastic success and zip code. There are also other reasons an entire group would be biased higher or lower. > I deal with this kind of sounds-good-if-you-don't-think-too-hard "insights" all the time Uh-huh.
- dwighttk 6y agoCould you help me understand what my fallacy was?
- hntrader 6y agoThe probability is just pow(0.5, N) where N is the student population, assuming that the distribution has no skew, assuming independence between students, and assuming the students are drawn randomly from the general population. It's an exponentially decreasing function, so it becomes incredibly unlikely for large student bodies under these assumptions. I disagree with this argument, but that's the basis of it.