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Some classification of these new forms of interventions: Ukraine is more hybrid warfare. HK is more lawfare. Chinese maritime disputes is more gray zone warf
by dirtyid 6y ago
Some classification of these new forms of interventions:
Ukraine is more hybrid warfare.
HK is more lawfare.
Chinese maritime disputes is more gray zone warfare.
- medium_burrito 6y agoIn all cases, the goal is to establish a truth on the ground independent of political posturing. Of course, someone can call your bluff on it!
- dirtyid 6y agoIMO the political posturing is paramount. Ultimate goal is to provide an sufficient truth calibrated to deter bluff calling. Fundamentally most countries don't want to or have capability to intervene, so the purpose is to give competing parties a credible "out" with manageable political cost, i.e. reduce bluff calling to angry letters / sanctions versus hard military retaliation. Gain objective while deter / mitigate the most unwanted responses.