That is true, the probability of "Yes" is 0, but only according to you. Relative to me, however, the probability is still 50% chance. It's just like if there w

That is true, the probability of "Yes" is 0, but only according to you. Relative to me, however, the probability is still 50% chance. It's just like if there was a stock the market know nothing about, but you know it just scored a magnificent deal a couple of hours ago, the market will see it as "meh, 50 50" (no price change), while you see "100% going to go up, must buy." That's called insider trading, however. ;)