3 ms·
Admittedly, it's not a gate-model system, but at D-Wave we've been able to scale up to 5,000+ qubits now, and the future is promising for further advancements i
by mikewave 6y ago
Admittedly, it's not a gate-model system, but at D-Wave we've been able to scale up to 5,000+ qubits now, and the future is promising for further advancements in qubit count, noise, and other advanced features.
The gate-model systems have shown that they are pursuing a much more difficult path, one that may indeed be fruitless for years or decades before they can approach our raw qubit count. We also have examples of nontrivial, paying-customer use cases that become more compelling with each new announcement. Factoring integers is indeed an interesting hard problem which would have a massive (negative?) impact on the world if realized, but besides Shor's and Grover's algorithms, it's not like gate-model QPUs have a ton of use cases significantly better than what a quantum annealer can accomplish.
I like to think of it this way: we're basically at the point of an ENIAC scale machine, if you liken quantum computing progress to classical computing. Fills up a room, very specific environmental and power requirements, little or no "memory" to speak of, esoteric and hard for anyone without years of training to master. Only a few decades later, the state of the art machine was thousands of times more capable, far cheaper and smaller, more reliable, more accessible in every way. Imagine describing the Internet as we use it today to an ENIAC operator, or a speculative investor considering IBM, Honeywell, etc. - it would sound like an impossible, Asimovesque dream, not something that children would literally be playing with sixty years later.
The only difference is that so far, we don't really seem to have a real exponential Moore's Law effect in quantum computing. Google et al. still have very low numbers of qubits without any real promise that they'll be able to deliver more of them in any consistent timeframe. At D-Wave we've done better on the scaling front, and we've been trying to keep up to our former founder's "Rose's Law" of qubit scale growth, but fabrication is an incredibly expensive, complicated, competitive endeavour that necessitates incredible quality control in order to produce processors that are up to spec. There are also other factors beyond the raw qubit count; the bigger advantage in our latest Advantage chip may actually be the higher connectivity between qubits on the graph, rather than their raw number.
Of course, we expect that we'll continue to push the envelope in this regard, and given enough time and investment, some of the early applications we're seeing now may well eventually be integrated into large scale products people use every day.
- caf 6y agoSaying "besides Grover's algorithm" strikes me as sort of an "All right, but apart from the sanitation, the medicine, education, wine, public order, irrigation, roads, a fresh water system, and public health, what have the Romans ever done for us?" sort of qualification. Grover's is pretty widely applicable, isn't it?