4 ms·
That's not the correct calculation because you've selected the research lab hypothesis post-facto. The correct calculation is to roll a dice representing all t
by rssoconnor 6y ago
That's not the correct calculation because you've selected the research lab hypothesis post-facto. The correct calculation is to roll a dice representing all the locations of possible human bat interactions and see how many of those land next to some landmark that you can form some sort of conspiracy about.
- bgandrew 6y agoAnd if you add all the sane hypotheses to the equation, how many would that be? 2?
- kube-system 6y agoHow many wet markets are in a city of 11 million people?
- rssoconnor 6y agoThe only thing that evolves faster than this virus are the conspiracy theory memes[1] that the internet collectively weaves from circumstantial evidence where more and more compelling narratives become more and more widely shared. I'd wager that 100% of pandemics, regardless of origin, will have some compelling conspiracy attached to them. Compelling conspiracy theories is what the internet manufactures, particularly in the absence of direct evidence of anything. [1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme
- mensetmanusman 6y agoYou may be misunderstanding expert opinion in prior elicitation. Many labs in the last century have had lab leaks. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incidents_involving_laboratory_biosecurity https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incide...