I would answer that question by asking how much lower do you think rates will go? And how long do you think the current IR will last? Rates were rising from abo

I would answer that question by asking how much lower do you think rates will go? And how long do you think the current IR will last? Rates were rising from about 1951 (when the Fed first gained independence) to about 1980. The've been falling from the mid 80s until the present. Whatever happens, everything comes to an end, and the current regime is a bit long in the tooth already. Bottom line, rates will change when there is a financial regime change due to the current system no longer working. I think it's obvious that what we are doing now is unsustainable: running massive deficits, enormous capital account inflows, and dollar appreciation. In terms of what would be the breaking point, one can only speculate as to whether it is too much inflation, or too many defaults, etc. At some point, the snowballing side effects of our current policies will just stop working, at which point a new regime will be needed. I don't know when. For a big picture view, I recommend Sydney Homer's A History of Interest Rates. It's a great read and discusses long term interest rate regimes as well as various triggers that changed them. In terms of trying to time these regime changes, I wouldn't bother. What you can do is hedge a bit so that you are not financially ruined in case there is a regime change. I would not use the low IR regime we have now to massively go into long term variable rate debt, for example, or massively go into long term fixed rate debt if you can't handle a rate increase. So just be aware that rates will go up at some point, and make sure you can handle that before taking on a lot of leverage.