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Non-Western migrants will represent a negative net fiscal contribution to the Danish welfare state until 2050 according to this analysis: https://link.springer
by ArkanExplorer 6y ago
Non-Western migrants will represent a negative net fiscal contribution to the Danish welfare state until 2050 according to this analysis:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00148-017-0636-1 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00148-017-0636-1
"The natives generate a net surplus of EUR −695. Only for immigrants of Western origin the figures are positive, at EUR 2546 and EUR 47 for first-generation and second-generation immigrants, respectively, compared to EUR −2238 and EUR −1070 for first and second non-Western immigrants"
"The reasons for the expected deficits lie in the weak labour market performance of non-Western immigrants as a group and the fact that people with a low level of education, which includes many non-Western immigrants, tend to retire early"
Denmark has acknowledged this and has expanded assimilation efforts: https://qz.com/1320234/denmarks-new-laws-targeting-ghetto-children-show-how-assimilation-is-becoming-mandatory/ https://qz.com/1320234/denmarks-new-laws-targeting-ghetto-ch...
The welfare state represents about 22% of the Danish economy: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/-/DDN-20190319-1 https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/-/D...
And welfare spending is about 59% of Danish Government spending: https://www.dst.dk/en/Statistik/emner/nationalregnskab-og-offentlige-finanser/offentlige-finanser/offentlig-forvaltnings-budgetter-finanslov https://www.dst.dk/en/Statistik/emner/nationalregnskab-og-of...
I use the example of Denmark because their data is transparent, but their situation is not much different to other continental European countries.
Western European countries such as Denmark are benefitting hugely from migration from countries like Poland, Ukraine, Bulgaria - because those migrants are educated and raised at the expense of their home country, but actually work and pay taxes as adults in the destination country. Its basically a form of 'human resource exploitation' - contributing to the depopulation of many Eastern European countries. These workers are basically keeping Western welfare states afloat, but the delta between quality of life in the West and East is shrinking.