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Falcon Heavy took longer than expected, but still managed to launch years ago. The only reason they're not bothering to get it human-rated is that they've switc
by chriswarbo 6y ago
Falcon Heavy took longer than expected, but still managed to launch years ago. The only reason they're not bothering to get it human-rated is that they've switched all focus to Starship.
This has actually caused some interesting dynamics:
- To get F9 human-rated, SpaceX had to perform many successful launches using the same configuration.
- Keeping the same configuration essentially froze any further development of F9.
- Development focus switched to a green-field successor, the BFR/Starship.
- Announcement of BFR/Starship caused an Osborne Effect for Falcon Heavy: anyone considering it (even SpaceX themselves!) would be better off waiting to see if Starship works https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osborne_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osborne_effect
- This stifled Falcon Heavy's market (which was already questionable/nascent), resulting in very few launches
- Having very few launches makes it hard to human-rate Falcon Heavy (in any case, SpaceX have bet the house on Starship)