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I overheard a rather loud phone conversation yesterday where a guy was urging his friend not to use AstraZeneca under any circumstances. Such things spread like
by f6v 6y ago
I overheard a rather loud phone conversation yesterday where a guy was urging his friend not to use AstraZeneca under any circumstances. Such things spread like fire.
- thehappypm 6y agoIt's reasonable. It's kind of a trolley problem scenario. Do I actively play Russian roulette with 1 bullet in a 100,000 chamber gun, or do I passively try to avoid the game altogether?
- Avamander 6y ago> passively try to avoid the game altogether Can't be done, you're avoiding yourself into a ~3/100 game.
- thehappypm 6y agoWhy 3/100? Covid is clearly killing far less than 3% of the infected, and far less than 3% of the general population when you factor in that not everyone is going to catch it.
- Avamander 6y agoOkay 3/100 is too high, latest sources estimate IFR ~1%, so 1/100 would be correct.
- thehappypm 6y agoStill not right, because not 100% of people will get covid naturally.
- Avamander 6y agoClose enough, you can multiply by 0.75-0.5 if you wish, still awful odds.