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I'm aware of Dota's win prediction chart. Do you know about STRATZ? They also have a win probability chart on their website as well as predictions for each her
by ZephyrBlu 6y ago
I'm aware of Dota's win prediction chart.
Do you know about STRATZ? They also have a win probability chart on their website as well as predictions for each hero in the game.
In their Discord, different people have asked the same questions about these "win probability" values multiple times because often they're very unintuitive (Because they are not actually probabilities).
> It's not really a black box, because you can see the win % change over time and get a feel for what it's weighting
If it wasn't a black box you would know why it's weighted at a particular value.
I think it's mostly a curiosity and not that helpful if you're trying to analyze your games.