4 ms·
The whole concept of restrictions that only apply for high infection rates shows lack of foresight. If you have a way to halve new infections in x weeks, you c
by yorwba 6y ago
The whole concept of restrictions that only apply for high infection rates shows lack of foresight.
If you have a way to halve new infections in x weeks, you can wait for y weeks during which infections double, then apply your countermeasures and after x+y weeks you're back where you started.
Or you could start implementing countermeasures immediately, ease up after x weeks, and after y weeks of growth you're also back where you started.
The only difference between the scenarios is the ordering, but the first leads to a mountain of infections and the second to a valley, i.e. lower total case count and fewer deaths. (Also a chance of extinction if the expected number of infected falls below 1.)
So anything you're willing to do when 100 of 100k are infected is just as good when it's 50 of 100k or really any number greater than zero.
- hef19898 6y agoThe funny thing is, the 50, or 100, is completely arbitrary. Initially it was 50 because authorities couldn't follow up cases above that. They couldn't below 50, as it turned out. Also, this threshold changes as seems fit. When 50 wasn't realistic anymore it became 100. Only for one state to choose 200. It is utter chaos. And still, a majority still supports these measures. Funny times indeed.