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IMO AGI is pipe-dream and it will require breakthrough(Darwin/Einstein level) rather than incremental improvements. This means it can happen tomorrow or not hap
by machiaweliczny 6y ago
IMO AGI is pipe-dream and it will require breakthrough(Darwin/Einstein level) rather than incremental improvements. This means it can happen tomorrow or not happen in 1000s of years.
What's more likely is (post)capitalism for all but I think we need new money and value distribution and funding models for that and projects like Ethereum can possibly deliver this. +1 to taxing land.
- ben_w 6y agoWhile I don’t think it’s a pipe dream, I agree we don’t know how far we are from achieving it, and that it may be tomorrow or never. I think it’s worth planning for as if it’s imminent, because of the cost of it happening without planning is unbounded while the cost of planning now is perhaps a few thousand PhDs.