4 ms·
Maybe I am wrong, but I feel they have published this a bit prematurely? The data is reported honestly, but their power (as indicated by the confidence interval
by ImaCake 6y ago
Maybe I am wrong, but I feel they have published this a bit prematurely? The data is reported honestly, but their power (as indicated by the confidence intervals) is pretty terrible. I wish they had waited longer.
At the same time the trend looks bad, and one would suspect it will continue to look bad. But the group with the outcome is pretty small. I hope they plan to keep monitoring this population.
EDIT: I should point out that they backup their data with antibody activity assays which do support the narrative in their primary outcome data.
EDIT2: ahh, I think I just don't like this result. Frankly it doesn't look good. Boy am I glad I live somewhere there isn't any circulating COVID.
- herbst 6y agoMoon?
- ImaCake 6y agoNo, Australia. But there are a fair few developed, isolated countries with little to no COVID.
- sumedh 6y ago> with little to no COVID. To be fair there was a time it could have gone out of control but Aussies followed the rules, trusted the govt and they got it under control.
- Symmetry 6y agoAnd more importantly the government actually tried to stop it while that was still possible. In most countries there was a progression of "no evidence for human to human transmissoin" to "just the flu" to "flatten the curve" to "huh, I guess we want to avoid most people getting it but our caseloads too high high for contact tracing to work".