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By that logic, MySpace is also unchallengeable. There's a class of kids out there who are 12 right now; by the time they're 16 or 18 are you sure they're going
by neilk 15y ago
By that logic, MySpace is also unchallengeable.
There's a class of kids out there who are 12 right now; by the time they're 16 or 18 are you sure they're going to want Facebook accounts? According to researcher danah boyd, these kids will probably have created and disposed of many different social networking accounts by that time.
- jsz0 15y agoI'm not suggesting Facebook is unchallengeable just that it will take much longer due to the enormous number of users. The exodus from MySpace took several years with about 1/4th less users. So a 10 year timeframe seems completely reasonable to me when you're talking about almost 700 million users. I just can't see how that happens in 4-6 years as you suggest. Facebook would have to stop growing entirely and begin losing hundreds of thousands of users per day to a competitor.