> if people are really staying home, pretty much any model of disease spread would predict less spread That's the point I've also mentioned in a post. If an ap

> if people are really staying home, pretty much any model of disease spread would predict less spread That's the point I've also mentioned in a post. If an applied statistics paper yields results that directly contradict good analytical causal models, then you know something is wrong with it. But I was heavily downvoted for that and deleted my post. I believe there are trolls or bots in this thread on HN today.