It's not the overthinking part of this essay that reflects poorly on the field of philosophy. It's the complete lack of interest in evidence. > For one thing,

It's not the overthinking part of this essay that reflects poorly on the field of philosophy. It's the complete lack of interest in evidence. > For one thing, the status of the (so-called) hindsight bias is contested Why? Were some seminal studies in hindsight bias overturned? This sounds interesting! ...Oh. No, some other guy thought really hard and decided it doesn't make sense. This must be a philosophy paper.