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If anyone can prove to me that this is an effect of Chesa Boudin being elected and not, say, a global pandemic causing social distress that led to increased cri

If anyone can prove to me that this is an effect of Chesa Boudin being elected and not, say, a global pandemic causing social distress that led to increased crimes nationwide [1], I might see some justification for this. All I see now is correlation without causation. [1] https://www.npr.org/2021/01/06/953254623/massive-1-year-rise-in-homicide-rates-collided-with-the-pandemic-in-2020 https://www.npr.org/2021/01/06/953254623/massive-1-year-rise...

gnicholas 6y ago
The trend of the pandemic is that homicides are up, but property crimes are down. In SF, violent crimes are down, but property crimes are way up. According to the original article: > When looking closer, city police data shows that violent crimes like homicide, rape and robbery were down in 2020 compared to 2019. However, burglary, arson, and vehicle thefts rose. This contrasts with the trend indicated in the article you posted: > Rosenfeld says there has been some respite since property crimes took a nosedive as the pandemic began. "Burglaries were down. Larcenies were down. You know quarantines kept people at home and burglaries tend to avoid occupied households," he explained. "When the shops are closed, there's no shoplifting, so larceny is reduced." Boudin's controversial policies relate largely to property crimes, and some of the press coverage and outrage resulted from people who were released from custody for property crimes and went on to hurt/kill people soon thereafter.
- beowulfey 6y ago
  To that point, though, property crime and auto theft of SF appears to be lower in 2020 compared to previous years as well. But I did not look into it too deeply. https://sfgov.org/scorecards/public-safety/violent-crime-rate-and-property-crime-rate https://sfgov.org/scorecards/public-safety/violent-crime-rat...
  - gnicholas 6y ago
    Motor vehicle theft was up 36% in 2020 over 2019, and burglary was up 51%. Larceny was down 39%, however. https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crime-dashboard https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crim...
- itsdrewmiller 6y ago
  This...seems like a good thing? I'd certainly rather have my car stolen than be murdered.

gnicholas 6y ago

The trend of the pandemic is that homicides are up, but property crimes are down. In SF, violent crimes are down, but property crimes are way up. According to the original article: > When looking closer, city police data shows that violent crimes like homicide, rape and robbery were down in 2020 compared to 2019. However, burglary, arson, and vehicle thefts rose. This contrasts with the trend indicated in the article you posted: > Rosenfeld says there has been some respite since property crimes took a nosedive as the pandemic began. "Burglaries were down. Larcenies were down. You know quarantines kept people at home and burglaries tend to avoid occupied households," he explained. "When the shops are closed, there's no shoplifting, so larceny is reduced." Boudin's controversial policies relate largely to property crimes, and some of the press coverage and outrage resulted from people who were released from custody for property crimes and went on to hurt/kill people soon thereafter.

beowulfey 6y ago
To that point, though, property crime and auto theft of SF appears to be lower in 2020 compared to previous years as well. But I did not look into it too deeply. https://sfgov.org/scorecards/public-safety/violent-crime-rate-and-property-crime-rate https://sfgov.org/scorecards/public-safety/violent-crime-rat...
- gnicholas 6y ago
  Motor vehicle theft was up 36% in 2020 over 2019, and burglary was up 51%. Larceny was down 39%, however. https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crime-dashboard https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crim...
itsdrewmiller 6y ago
This...seems like a good thing? I'd certainly rather have my car stolen than be murdered.