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I'm not sure if I would really consider that a legitimate worry. Software developers' expertise is in developing software, not in analyzing statistics to predi
by TheCoelacanth 6y ago
I'm not sure if I would really consider that a legitimate worry.
Software developers' expertise is in developing software, not in analyzing statistics to predict the future.
Developer estimates are one of the best data points you have to predict how long something will take, but if you think that you can just take them at face value, you are not doing your job as a manager. You need to compare them to past estimates and how those estimates panned out during development.
- jbay808 6y agoExactly, hence this endeavour! Where we discovered the secret map between the software developers' predictions and reality, which management worried was completely uncorrelated but it turned out to just be the lognormal distribution.
- kqr 6y ago> Software developers' expertise is in developing software, not in analyzing statistics to predict the future. Which is a shame and causes so much wasted work. I wish we all got better at this.
- underdeserver 6y agoYep. I would claim analyzing statistics to predict the future is an integral component of being a good software engineer.