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Is it realistic to expect the US to have the capability to block its northern borders? I can't imagine Russia siding with the US in the event of a serious confl
by rococode 6y ago
Is it realistic to expect the US to have the capability to block its northern borders? I can't imagine Russia siding with the US in the event of a serious conflict, and even ignoring Kazakhstan and Mongolia (which the US will likely find hard to influence), China and Russia have many miles of shared borders. Russia's oil production is in the same order of magnitude as Saudi Arabia and the US and to my understanding is artificially limited to play nice with OPEC.
I think the more interesting scenario is tech embargoes taking away the "building blocks" (e.g. chips) and stalling their tech production. But China is well aware of their deficiency in this area and they've been pushing hard towards what they call "self-reliance" [1].
As for food, I can't imagine the conflict escalating to such a level of hostility and disregard for human life that the world allows the US to blockade China into starvation.
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2020-10-31/bloomberg-new-economy-self-reliance-is-china-s-endgame https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2020-10-31/bloomb...
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3012888/chinas-push-self-reliance-meets-reality-global-trade-networks https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3012888/ch...
- ardit33 6y agoIt is only one rail line and some roads... it takes a couple of B2s to destroy the link. The US doesn't have to hit china itself (to avoid any nuclear escalation). It will hit the silk road in the secondary countries where it passes (eg. Kazakhstan). Siberia is huge and the Russian - China link is very inefficient. Also, China is in bad terms with almost every other neighbor it has (territory disputes with almost every one).. and they will be glad to see it humbled a notch or two and will not help.
- est 6y ago> It will hit the silk road in the secondary countries where it passes (eg. Kazakhstan) China would be more than happy to help those countries with better "air defence".