>> Or in other words, you have a strong prior belief that the hypothesis you're testing is false. Yes, that is true for the dice roll; You already know most di

>> Or in other words, you have a strong prior belief that the hypothesis you're testing is false. Yes, that is true for the dice roll; You already know most die aren't rigged. I don't see how this affects the results of optimizely's product; You do not have a strong prior belief if the hypothesis is true or false. Also note that the number of observations in the article used were in the thousands.