3 ms·
I was not commenting on the main article about the research, but instead on the comment by user karaterobot that I am responding to which -- if I am interpreti
by gamegoblin 6y ago
I was not commenting on the main article about the research, but instead on the comment by user karaterobot that I am responding to which -- if I am interpreting it correctly -- asks the question how good one can guess purely based on those 3 demographic axes.
As you note, the researcher's predictor appears to do better than random even controlling for these obvious demographic skews, which is fascinating.
- stkdump 6y agoActually, you have to answer something more from the other side: for a randomly picked person (voter), i.e. considering the distribution of race, gender and age in the population: how likely is a guess just based on these factors correct. The number you come up with might actually not be as far from 50% as you would expect.