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> All we care about is that on average it crashes less than human drivers. All we care about is that on average it crashes less than human drivers in comparabl
by 6gvONxR4sf7o 6y ago
> All we care about is that on average it crashes less than human drivers.
All we care about is that on average it crashes less than human drivers in comparable conditions. If you compare a 40 year old driving a tesla on autopilot on a sunny freeway to an 18 year old driving a 1995 beater without modern safety features, no ADAS, etc, in a snowy busy intersection, autopilot doesn't have to be that great to look better. If you compare tesla on autopilot to "average human miles" you rolling some very invalid comparisons into the averages. You can only usefully compare averages if they're averaged over comparable contexts.
A less extreme comparison, if my memory serves, is tesla rolling out ADAS with autopilot when they did a before/after comparison. They compared autopilot-available + ADAS-engaged to autopilot-unavailable + ADAS-unavailable, or something along those lines, if I remember correctly.