4 ms·
It says in the article that humans got just 55% (so 10% better than random chance) on the same test.
by rory 6y ago
It says in the article that humans got just 55% (so 10% better than random chance) on the same test.
- bryanlarsen 6y agoThe humans are probably overthinking it. You get ~55% by assuming by answering "Biden" for everybody.
- leereeves 6y agoAccording to Wikipedia only 51.3% voted for Biden/Harris.
- relaxing 6y agoThe dataset was not restricted to voters.
- leereeves 6y agoDo you have data that includes non-voters? I haven't seen any; most polls are limited to voters.
- standardUser 6y agoThere were tons of national polls done for Trump's approval that included all adults (instead of likely or registered voters). Trump fared noticeably worse in the polls of all adults throughout his presidency.
- leereeves 6y agoApproval isn't the same thing as preference among two choices. Trump received a considerably higher percentage of votes than his approval rating.
- simiones 6y agoIn fact, the dating site dataset was ~54% conservative according to their explanations of included data, but the point stands.
- sct202 6y agoI wonder if that 55% is from mturk or other survey sites that can be somewhat questionable in terms of quality with how much people are paying attention versus maximizing their hourly survey earnings.
- itsdrewmiller 6y agoIt says on a similar test - it's a reference to a different study with a different data set.