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This isn't how statistics work. Teslas are only about .1% of all cars in the US, and only a fraction of those have autopilot on. If autopilot is as safe as a hu
by bildung 6y ago
This isn't how statistics work. Teslas are only about .1% of all cars in the US, and only a fraction of those have autopilot on. If autopilot is as safe as a human driver, we'd expect to see about 10000 cases of human stupidity for every case of autopilot stupidity.
- jiofih 6y agoThat’s exactly my point. There are millions of Teslas on the road, a single incident nine months ago means very little. You will find thousands of these for humans in the past month alone. Teslas per-mile incident rate is currently about 1/10th that of human drivers.
- bildung 6y ago> There are millions of Teslas on the road, It's only 1.4 million ever sold worldwide. > Teslas per-mile incident rate is currently about 1/10th that of human drivers. But the reason for that is obvious, isn't it? It is strongly encouraged to activate autopilot in trivial situations (e.g. lane assist on interstates), whereas most dangerous conditions (rain, freezing, bad roads, road works and so on) and their higher incident share is almost completely in the human driver column.
- jiofih 6y agoThese cars have driven about 4 billion miles with AP on, only six confirmed AP fatalities total since 2016. If it was such a hazard you’d expect to see hundreds or thousands of serious incidents.
- bildung 6y agoIts at 15 deaths for currently 3.3 billion miles driven. The number 6 comes from Tesla itself, which isn't exactly in a neutral position. Thats 4.5 deaths per billion mile driven. No idea about the US, but in Denmark the deaths per billion mile of highway roads driven is 0.7. In other words: On a European freeway equivalent you are over 6x more likely to die from Teslas autopilot than if you would drive yourself.