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A version of Amara's law [1] applies here "We tend to overestimate the effect of {THING} in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run." In his
by gjvc 6y ago
A version of Amara's law [1] applies here "We tend to overestimate the effect of {THING} in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."
In his original observation, {THING} was technology, but given how people have had to adapt and survive, many using technology more intensively over the past year or so, I think it applies, and will do so again as the pandemic eventually passes.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara#:~:text=His%20adage%20about%20forecasting%20the,effect%20in%20the%20long%20run https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara#:~:text=His%20adage%....