Weak sauce. I remember enjoying his talk last year, this is pretty disappointing. All his evidence that Linux is dying seems flimsy. • RMS has been sidelined.

Weak sauce. I remember enjoying his talk last year, this is pretty disappointing. All his evidence that Linux is dying seems flimsy. • RMS has been sidelined. That was because of RMS-specific reasons, not some grand conspiracy against FOSS. • ESR has been sidelined. That was because of ESR-specific reasons, not some grand conspiracy against FOSS. • I'm optimistic the FSF and OSI will get by fine without them. This at least seems like a possibility worth acknowledging. • He seems to assert that if the kernel's complexity continues to bloat out of control, the whole project will be doomed to eventually stall and implode. That doesn't seem likely. If the complexity gets unmanageable, I imagine they'd make radical changes, or perhaps we could even see major forks, rather than Linux collapsing entirely like the fall of Rome. edit Or did Rome fork? Perhaps not a great analogy. • In-person conferences are down, on account of a global pandemic. So? He asserts there's no way they'll return after the pandemic, but this is baseless. Even if the organisations that run these events are in trouble, if the demand is there then new ones will arise. There weren't always Linux events, after all. • No operating system lasts forever. That doesn't seem right empirically. We've had Linux and Windows dominating for a long time. He acknowledges that operating systems evolve, but I don't think that's enough. • He doesn't seem to have any real prediction about the future, beyond the Linux kernel specifically will no longer be dominant. Why would we expect Haiku or the BSDs to overtake the Linux kernel? I still can't quite believe he applauded people for breaking lockdown rules to hold small-scale Linux conferences.