4 ms·
This is also known as the Lucas critique, dating from 1976 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucas_critique https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucas_critique and also
by zwaps 6y ago
This is also known as the Lucas critique, dating from 1976
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucas_critique https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucas_critique
and also
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Campbell%27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Campbell%27s_law
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law
Edit: I think this is not the first time the good people from lesswrong dug up some well known idea and gave it a new name.
Good thing, too, giving this important concept more attention. Too often we forget how many people have dealt with the problem of modeling complex systems in the past. And while we can not read everything, it's often a good idea to have at least a glance at where they failed!
Too often I read/review some new "revolutionary" paper based on the idea that hey, we can model this process (involving people) like XYZ from physics, where this stuff works great! Surely, this is better than the plebian approaches in the literature!
And then, to the shock of all involved, it doesn't work great....
Also:
https://xkcd.com/793/ https://xkcd.com/793/
- krzepah 6y agofun fact comment, Asimov thought about this, I'm quoting the short part that is relevant from this article on wikipedia :https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundation_series https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundation_series "One key feature of Seldon's theory, which has proved influential in real-world social science,[3] is the uncertainty principle: if a population gains knowledge of its predicted behavior, its self-aware collective actions become unpredictable."