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This article is indeed amusing. Since his predictions, average sea ice extent in the arctic has been higher than in 2012 (when the artice was written) for every
by helloworld11 6y ago
This article is indeed amusing. Since his predictions, average sea ice extent in the arctic has been higher than in 2012 (when the artice was written) for every year since. The long term standardized coverage of ice is sloping gently downwards and that's an issue to worry about, yes, but the scientific prediction referenced here by the Guardian shows just how easy it is to be misled by dramatic statements even from scientists about the next X years, who know that in X years few will remember what they had claimed while it helped boost their names initially. Yes, scientists are self-promoting human beings just like anyone.
That aside, many of the other comments here, filled with deep existential dread about our future world, are straying into the manic given how terrible humans are at predicting anything at all over the long term. There are far too many unknown unknowns for us to be sure of any aspect of catastrophe for 2100 or even for earlier years. Never mind years beyond 2100.
It should serve as very serious food for thought just how much reactions to COVID by public officials, scientists and the media as well were bungled, confused and fraught with false claims (notable examples: masks don't work, the virus has a 1-3% mortality rate) in just a single year because of science and politics mixing heavily in a media charged atmosphere. Yet somehow, the far, far more complex theme of global climate patterns over decades combined with human trends during the next 70 years, is taken as a near given of planetary catastrophe to the point where many of you are firmly convinced that having children now is barely a step below slow murder...