3 ms·
> The line I've heard repeatedly is we're waiting for "total" herd immunity It depends which line you are considering; if wearing masks yes. If "reopening and
by smileysteve 6y ago
> The line I've heard repeatedly is we're waiting for "total" herd immunity
It depends which line you are considering; if wearing masks yes.
If "reopening and returning to normal" that remark is most resembles a hyperbole.
In the United States, on April 16th 2020, the Coronavirus task force outlined a 3 phase plan dependent on 3 criteria based on 2 week averages
1) Hospital Vacancy,
2) New cases decreasing (from where they were), and
3) Percent positive testing rate under 10% (that suggests that the tests numbers are close to accurate and not in community spread)(5% is the standard that Europe uses as a liberal goal, 2.5% is the recommended)
For an answer on those 3 in the US (today)
1) Hospitals are just now where they were on April 16
2) New cases is about 3x where they were April 16
3) We've been under 10% since 1/21 (now at a 7 day average of 5%)
So the goal posts haven't gotten harder. They did get easier; restaurants shouldn't have been open for socially distanced dining based on the plan until 1/21.