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I agree, cases are falling so fast and so dramatically in Texas that it looks like a data error. I see no way masks and social distancing resulted in the drop

I agree, cases are falling so fast and so dramatically in Texas that it looks like a data error. I see no way masks and social distancing resulted in the drop off happening now. We're at levels not seen since the mins in Sept/Oct which outruns the holiday wave. I can't make heads or tails of it. https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-coronavirus-cases-map/ https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-coronaviru... edit: the past weather has certainly had an effect on testing but the drop off predates the storm.

Izkata 6y ago
There's more: * The WHO updated their guidelines for PCR tests in a way that could cause this (because the tests were being misused, the new guidelines clarify how they're supposed to be used in a way the previous ones did not), except the update also happened after the drop started. * The drop is worldwide, it seems like only a handful of countries aren't experiencing it. In most places it started at various parts of January, but here in Illinois it started in November (minus spikes that correlate to Thanksgiving/Christmas/New Years). * There is no correlation in the US between "lockdown states" and "reopened states". It's just dropping everywhere. My personal belief: We already hit herd immunity in most of the world a month ago. There's a few possibilities for why this would be (underestimating cross-immunity or how far the virus has spread, for example), but it's really hard to say for sure.
- chasd00 6y ago
  bullet three is pretty fascinating for all kinds of flame-war inducing reasons that I'm just going to leave out.