> dropping more sharply than the infection rate. I know this might seem petty, but its really important to split out the effect of lockdown vs vaccinations.

> dropping more sharply than the infection rate. I know this might seem petty, but its really important to split out the effect of lockdown vs vaccinations. If the drop in hospital admissions is down to vaccinations, we'd expect to see a decrease in those in the top 4 groups that have been vaccinated, but a no decrease in other groups (like in Israel) In the case of the UK when the general background is decreasing infections we should see a marked difference in steepness between both groups. Now, as you rightly point out, there is normally a 4-6week lag between infection and hospital admission (this has been getting longer with improved at home monitoring). Deaths for the over 70's not so much. They are more likely to palliated, rather than put on a vent. I am not a vaccine skeptic, I look forward to getting mine and going back into a physical office. I just want to make sure that we prove things with the data we _have_ rather than try and back fill insignificant margins with meanings they can't support. The UK is a beacon of vaccination, I want it to be robust, rather than bluster.