Yes, the original simulation hypothesis was phrased in terms of a trilemma, one of which seems like it must be true (plus the uncertain base assumption that a s

Yes, the original simulation hypothesis was phrased in terms of a trilemma, one of which seems like it must be true (plus the uncertain base assumption that a simulation of sentience is sentient): - The fraction of posthuman civilizations capable of running high-fidelity ancestor simulations is very close to zero - The fraction of posthuman civilizations that are interested in running simulations of their evolutionary history, or variations thereof, is very close to zero - The fraction of all people with our kind of experiences that are living in a simulation is very close to one. For a certain kind of person who is also the most likely to engage with the hypothesis 3) is the most exciting, so it got the most attention. I think 1) and 2) are more probable and at least as worthy of deep consideration.