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> Yet it takes an extraordinary move of adding ~$2 trillion in market cap for Bitcoin to get there. The risk vs reward in Bitcoin at these levels is like a lot
by linsurance 6y ago
> Yet it takes an extraordinary move of adding ~$2 trillion in market cap for Bitcoin to get there. The risk vs reward in Bitcoin at these levels is like a lot of absurdly overvalued stocks presently.
Bitcoin is not a stock, it's a deflationary asset. There are not just a limited amount of bitcoin, but a constantly decreasing amount and a constantly increasing amount of people wishing to use them. People sounded very much like you at every step of the way, including in the rise to $1,000. "The risk isn't worth it."
> Significant inflation isn't coming back anytime soon
I mean except in the commodities markets, the housing market, the price of ammo, of course. Unless you believe those are just "bubbles" as well.
> We're not going to see a serious wave of inflation this decade now for the same reason we didn't the prior decade.
We are seeing inflation, it's just occurring in hard asset classes like real estate.
> and nothing is very different today versus the past (except that so far this is a cakewalk compared to the destruction in the past; maybe it'll get a lot worse yet, of course).
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1
It is worse though.
- hiq 6y ago> a constantly increasing amount of people wishing to use them I find this hard to believe, at least not to the extent you're implying. People don't actually use Bitcoins that much, they mostly speculate on it. Bitcoin was created after the last financial crisis. I'm genuinely curious to see what will happen when the next one hits.
- TheBlight 6y agoHolding bitcoin as a hedge is use.
- louloulou 6y agoYeah, people call it the everything bubble, when the obvious explanation is the money is being massively debased to pay debt that can't be serviced otherwise. In all historical episodes of hyperinflation, at the start, everyone holding assets just thinks they are getting rich.
- 55555 6y ago> I mean except in the commodities markets, the housing market, the price of ammo, of course. Unless you believe those are just "bubbles" as well. Do you have anything I can read to learn how to distinguish asset bubbles from inflation? Why does inflation sometimes take this form?