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> This smells like a failure driven entirely by inappropriate cost optimization. Exactly. Due to the nature of the Texas climate, peak capacity will track summ
by edbob 6y ago
> This smells like a failure driven entirely by inappropriate cost optimization.
Exactly. Due to the nature of the Texas climate, peak capacity will track summer demand and not account for once-in-a-lifetime freezes. We need proper planning and enforcement to ensure that we can output as much in the winter as we can in the summer. Hopefully it's as straightforward as weather-proofing our existing capacity. As you said, wind generation works fine in much colder climes.
If a significant part of our capacity can't produce in cold weather, it should be phased out in favor of capacity that can. I'd love to see that be Canadian-style windmills, if that turns out to be able to produce consistently in winter (I have some doubt here because of the very low projections for our existing wind output, but perhaps more robust turbines will do much better). If wind turns out not to be able to meet that need sufficiently, then perhaps we should focus some of the subsidies on capacity that can. What we should never do is defend one preferred generation source without regard to whether it can supply what Texas actually needs, which is capacity that can produce consistent output in both summer and winter.