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Isn't gas also at like 50% production as well? It's also heavily knocked out? Like it's pulling a lot of weight because it's 80% of the capacity if nothing's g
by rtpg 6y ago
Isn't gas also at like 50% production as well? It's also heavily knocked out?
Like it's pulling a lot of weight because it's 80% of the capacity if nothing's going wrong! If it was 100% then maybe 40 GW of thermal capacity would _also_ be offline.
ERCOT assumed 0% from Wind. Instead we're getting 25% They assumed 100% from gas. Instead we're getting 50% (or 70% or whatever). You look at that and tell me gas is what's performing well here, and the segment that should be expanded. (EDIT: Sorry, I think your original thing was "all in nuclear." I think I read nuclear was also having some issues but it's at least not the "more gas is the solution for a situation where gas is failing" narrative)
I get that wind + solar can't cover everything, but right now what we're seeing is massive failures from gas. In a universe where we had more wind + solar, there could likely be more energy going around right now.
- cbmuser 6y agoSouth Texas Project 1 was already fixed and should be back online: > https://twitter.com/Beazy_Rampezy/status/1362043827800977414 https://twitter.com/Beazy_Rampezy/status/1362043827800977414
- vancan1ty 6y agoIt is simple to see what energy source is pulling above its weight and what energy source is pulling below its weight. Go to here: https://www.eia.gov/beta/electricity/gridmonitor/expanded-view/electric_overview/balancing_authority/ERCO/GenerationByEnergySource-14/edit https://www.eia.gov/beta/electricity/gridmonitor/expanded-vi... , select "daily" view and put in 60 days to get a more representative sample. on 12/19/2020 -- looks to be a fairly typical Texas winter day natural gas production was 331660 megawatthours wind was 191415 megawatthours for a ratio of 1.73 gas/wind this appears to be fairly typical numbers on a daily basis over the winter -- actually on a number of days wind surpasses gas on 2/16/2021 natural gas 692091 wind 90087 for a ratio of 7.68 gas/wind natural gas 2/16 vs natural gas 12/19 is ratio 2.09 wind 2/16 vs wind 12/19 is ratio 0.47 so as expected during an inclement weather event natural gas ramped up and wind ramped down. natural gas just didn't ramp up enough to pick up all the slack from increased demand and ramped down renewables. "I get that wind + solar can't cover everything, but right now what we're seeing is massive failures from gas. In a universe where we had more wind + solar, there could likely be more energy going around right now." -- Wind is failing much worse than gas from an objective power generation standpoint. All wind has going for it is the tyranny of low expectations.