>Arguably the stock price is a prediction of future success Sure, the stock price is always a prediction of future success. But it can change overnight, and wh

>Arguably the stock price is a prediction of future success Sure, the stock price is always a prediction of future success. But it can change overnight, and when it does, it's not because reality or the "facts on the ground" changed overnight (usually) it's because perception changed. Often if not always because a catalyst made people aware of something that was building for a fair amount of time. >strategic shifts that happened once Ballmer left. I'm not saying this is wrong, but I don't think it's appropriate to treat the stock price as evidence of it.